A second bite at the apple
/A review of 2022 along with an interesting asset class to start 2023
Read MoreA review of 2022 along with an interesting asset class to start 2023
Read MoreOne of my favorite tax strategies for college professors and others is a Health Savings Account (HSA) offered through your workplace. Read more about three steps to take full tax advantage of your HSA: 1) make maximum contributions, 2) invest in stocks and bonds, 3) delay withdrawals as long as possible.
Read MoreThe media and the average person misunderstand and misinterpret inflation for two important reasons:
They focus on the ANNUAL reported inflation number which tells you what has happened over the past year but not where inflation is headed.
The SHELTER component of inflation which measures rents and home prices makes up about one third of overall inflation but lags real-time housing data by up to 12 months.
The most recent inflation report that was published on 12/13/2022 makes an excellent illustration of these two points. Understanding the nuance of inflation reports and where we are headed rather than where we have been is key for setting expectations for how much further and how quickly the Fed will continue to raise interest rates as well as how long rates will remain elevated.
Read MoreHow to decide what to renovate, how much renovations cost, cash versus home equity loans, your realistic investment return, and so. much. more.
Read MoreLeanne Rahn had the privilege to be featured in Real Estate By Aubree’s Home for the Holidays Magazine to talk to readers about “Staying the Course”.
With a Christmas twist, Leanne emphasizes the importance of not just your destination but your journey and the steps you take along the way. Leave feeling encouraged, confident, and motivated while understanding the value of remaining steadfast on your current course.
Leanne, Aubree, along with many other West Michigan businesses are wishing you a very Merry Christmas!
With holiday season in full swing and many more festive gatherings to come you may find yourself having conversations around the state of our economy, the cost of living, possibly even how your portfolios may be preforming, or more likely, how they are not preforming.
As we have watched the market react through this cycle of underperformance one thing has remained true, there is beauty and pride in proven investments. To paraphrase investor Jim Grant: Knowledge in some fields is cumulative. In other fields it’s cyclical (at best).
Let’s create some context, In the 19th century it was common for surgeons to reject the concept of micro bacteria, also known as germs. There was no process of sterilization when preforming surgery, which led to many infections and later a general knowledge of germs. This seems unfathomable to you or I reading this now but, like many things in life, it took countless mistakes to create a form of “Cumulative Knowledge” in the field.
For some reason this form of knowledge seems to pass over a large majority of the investment community. Although we have vast knowledge, an abundance of research and thousands of examples of different investment philosophies and strategies over time. Time and time again human behavior has not drastically varied through market cycles. The majority of investors participate in this form of “Cyclical Knowledge” mentioned by investor Jim Grant.
Let’s look at this mathematically -
We have spent the last decade in a flourishing economy where nearly anyone from anywhere could create wealth in the equites market, in the last 12 months this entire concept has drastically changed. The majority of stocks are down year to date and all of the main indices listed above have suffered losses, although not in equal proportions.
Those boring old blue-chip stocks that pay a nice dividend and have strong cash flows are looking as bright as ever. Rather than the trendy investments in crypto currencies, blockchain, robotics, cyber security, and many more innovative concepts. It is time to be more methodical and rational in our investment philosophies.
Success in the stock market should look boring! You will not be sitting at the dinner table talking about your hot stock tip that doubled this year. Or how someone you work with got rich overnight on a hot investment.
This is not a proven way to create wealth. Diligence and patience are the greatest tools you possess in order to create lasting wealth. This sort of thing takes decades not weeks.
Invest continually over long periods of time, keep fees to a minimum, and wait patiently over years and decades to effectively build wealth.
This is not a declaration that index funds are the only answer to success in the realm of investing. I too enjoy variations of asset allocation; yet, this is a reminder of the importance of these strategies when considering the portions of your financial plan that are crucial to your retirement. As well as a reminder to be diligent in where your money is and who is in charge of it.
My encouragement to you, as you hear those stories of large gains and news articles of the next big thing, find a way to stay true to the fundamentals. Understand although someone may be holding a hot stock up 80% odds are the rest of their holdings are suffering, they just failed to mention it. Exciting investments may have had their time in the spotlight but one thing will remain true over centuries. Boring investments do not have an ego, boring investments always have been and always will be sexy.
Wealth is Built Over Time.
Fiduciary Financial Advisors is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein.
Typically, people keep money in the bank for three reasons: 1. Safety 2. Return (interest) 3. Accessibility. In the current environment, short-term bonds actually beat banks on two of those three criteria and aren’t far off on the third.
NET OUT - If you’re willing to hold a treasury bond until the end of it’s term, you know the minimum return you will receive, the only risk of loss is if the US government defaults on its debt, and your bond has the potential to do better than expected if interest rates drop.
Read MoreMacatawa Bank’s Mortgage team welcomed Alex to the team in 2016. Before joining the Mortgage team she served as a Commercial Credit Analyst. Prior to her work at Macatawa Bank, Merz was a Customer Service Representative at Chemical Bank. Alex holds her Bachelor's degree from Davenport University, where she double majored in Marketing and Finance, and played both basketball and golf. When she’s not fitting her customers with the perfect mortgage, Alex cheers on the Detroit Lions, no matter how bad they might be playing.
616.502.8044 akiel@macatawabank.com Website
H: I’ve heard travel nurses say they haven’t been able to get approved for a mortgage loan. What is a bank looking for to qualify travel nurses to obtain a mortgage?
A: Ideally, an underwriter is looking for a 2+ year history of being a traveling nurse with back-to-back contracts. If the potential borrowers are able to save up for a down payment during this time and build their credit, they will end up most likely with a better interest rate and lower monthly payments once they do qualify.
H: What if the travel nurse is looking to buy a house before that 2+ year limit? Does the amount of time they worked as a full-time employee at a hospital before they started travel nursing count at all?
A: If they are not able to wait 2 years to buy, they could consider a co-borrower and then refinance the loan into their own name solely once they have the two-year history. A bank may consider an income exception if the borrower has excellent credit, a good down payment, and a low debt-to-income ratio. They would need to see at least a one-year history of income being a traveling nurse though. This is not guaranteed, but the borrowers could apply for a pre-qualification after at least one year of income and have the bank take a look at the application. The exceptions would be on a case-by-case basis, and a strong co-borrower usually helps.
H: You mentioned back-to-back contracts. It can be hard to start another travel contract the very next week so a lot of nurses take a few weeks off in-between contracts. Would that still count as back-to-back? Any recommendations in the timeframe between contracts if someone is looking to obtain a mortgage?
A: A few weeks off would likely still be considered back-to-back. It’s understood that the industry norm could have a week or two in between contracts. Once a nurse starts approaching a month between each contract, there may be an explanation required for the gap in employment. Since the time in between each contract could vary, that’s another reason a two-year history is helpful to see the average income and the average amount of time worked year over year.
H: A decent chunk of travel nurse income comes in the form of tax-free stipends for housing and food. Does the bank consider this when evaluating the debt-to-income ratio?
A: The stipend would have to be documented and consistent to be considered income. The structure of income needs to remain the same year over year to be calculated as an average. If not every contract has a stipend, it may be difficult to consider it as income. However, when calculating the debt-to-income ratio, items like food expenses are not necessarily counted against the borrower. For example, the total debt considered in that ratio are items like loans from the credit report, property taxes, homeowners insurance, the proposed new loan, and HOA payments if applicable. Items like food expenses, gas, utilities, etc. are not counted as a debt payment each month. So the stipend portion of payment could go towards personal expenses and not necessarily considered to help with the loan repayment.
H: What percent would you recommend for a down payment?
A: Most of our loan options require at least a 5% down payment. If you don’t have 20% down, that is okay, but there will be PMI payments required. PMI stands for private mortgage insurance and is an extra portion of the monthly payment that does not go toward the principal balance of the loan. The more one puts down, the lower the PMI payment will be. I would never recommend someone use all of their liquid funds towards the down payment in case a large expense comes up unexpectedly. If someone can’t come up with 20% down, it shouldn’t necessarily stop them from buying a home.
H: I’ve heard it is not good to take out a new credit card or loan before applying to get a mortgage. Any other things that nurses should try not to do?
A: That is true, if the loan can wait, don’t apply for it until after the home purchase. Also, don’t apply for these things during the loan process either. If one does, the new loans have to be counted in the debt-to-income ratio on the mortgage application. Try not to save your down payment in cash under your bed. We cannot accept funds for a mortgage in cash because we have to source where those funds came from. Have the funds deposited in a savings, checking, or money-market account.
H: How soon would you recommend a travel nurse start talking with a mortgage broker when they want to start the process of getting a home mortgage loan?
Each scenario is different for each person. If someone is serious about trying to buy a home in the future, they can truly reach out to a mortgage lender at any time. The lender can explain if they couldn’t get approval now, what it would take to get approval and what the borrower should be working on. The lender could also go through options that would involve a co-borrower if the income of the traveling nurse can’t be considered at that time. They can also review how much income would be required based on the purchase price desired.
Fiduciary Financial Advisors, LLC is a registered investment adviser and does not give legal or tax advice. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities. The information contained herein has been obtained from a third party source which is believed to be reliable but is subject to correction for error. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or representation of future results.
Tips to maximize your vacation savings, destination advice, flight deals, and more!
Read MoreThere are many examples of situations where mega-backdoor roth contributions can be unexpectedly relevant but there are some overarching themes:
When the amount of money coming in during a year is significantly higher than usual
When your expenses are significantly lower than usual but your income hasn’t changed
When you’ve built up more savings than you need for your emergency fund and short-term goals
When one spouse has access to a 401k and the other working spouse does not
While the 2023 social security cost-of-living increase of 8.7% grabbed most of the headlines, the IRS also adjusted tax brackets and contribution limits for 2023 to keep pace with the 8.2% annual inflation rate reported in October. While many adjustments kept up (401k contribution limits increased 9.8%, IRA limits by 8.3%), the Feds were stingier with others (tax bracket thresholds increased only 7.1%, the standard family deduction by 6.9%, Roth income limit by 6.9%).
Read MoreSaying that the Mega-Backdoor Roth strategy can supercharge your retirement saving is not a hyperbole. In most situations, maximizing this feature MORE THAN DOUBLES the amount you can save to Roth accounts each year. Once those savings are invested in a Roth account, they can grow tax free for years or decades and be withdrawn tax free* in retirement.
A quick example illustrates just how powerful those tax savings can be:
Each year for 20 years, “normal 401k Charlie” maxes out his Roth 401k with $20,500 and invests an additional $40,500 in a taxable investment account. Both accounts grow at 6% per year. At the end of 20 years, Charlie has $1,497,169 in his taxable account and $757,826 in his 401k; $2,254,995 in total. While Charlie’s Roth 401k savings can be withdrawn tax free in retirement, he will owe capital gains tax on the $687,169 of his investment gains in the taxable account. At long term capital gains rate of 15% that would be $103,075 in taxes! This doesn’t even include taxes he would likely have paid on dividends in the taxable account over 20 years.
“Mega-backdoor Bettie” on the other hand maxes out her normal $20,500 Roth 401k contribution and is able to invest an additional $40,500 into her Roth 401k through the Mega-backdoor strategy. After 20 years, with the same investment return as Charlie, Bettie has the same total savings of $2,254,995. However, Bettie can withdraw that full amount tax free in retirement.
In this example the Mega-backdoor saved Bettie $103,075 on taxes! She also didn’t pay tax on any dividends along the way.
Hopefully this example helps illustrate that the Mega-Backdoor Roth can be a powerful tax-saving strategy, but how does it work? By making after-tax 401k contributions and in-plan Roth conversions. Let’s break those two steps down:
1) Allowing after tax 401k contributions increases the maximum amount employees can contribute from $20,500 in 2022 to $61,000* (or $67,500* if you’re over 50). After-tax contributions don’t reduce your taxable income or tax bill today, but this is where the in-plan Roth conversion is key.
2) Through an in-plan conversion you can easily take those huge after-tax contributions and convert them to Roth funds within your 401k (or through rollover conversions to a Roth IRA). Once converted, your savings grow tax-free and can be withdrawn tax free in retirement just like normal Roth 401k or Roth IRA contributions.
This is the power of the mega-backdoor, it allows you to quickly build a much bigger tax-free* retirement nest egg than you could with a typical 401k and Roth IRA alone. And, unlike a Roth IRA where households over the income limit aren’t allowed to contribute, anyone in the plan can contribute with no income cap. This means even high earning households can mega-backdoor. It’s actually this group that can benefit the most!
Unfortunately, many 401k plans don’t allow allow for employees to make after tax contributions. Sadly, there’s not even a good reason for this other than perhaps some added administrative difficulty. That said, it is becoming more and more common and will likely continue to grow in popularity. Some plans allow for after tax contributions but don’t have a program set up for in-plan conversions to Roth. This is where a second step is needed to see if the plan does allow for “in service distributions” so that employees can roll over their after tax contributions to an IRA and convert them to Roth. If you’re unsure what you’re plan allows or how to execute this step please reach out, I’m happy to help.
Let’s be honest, making mega-backdoor Roth contributions isn’t realistic for a lot of people. Maxing out a $20,500 annual contribution is already a lot! In fact, it may already be more than enough for your situation and retirement goals. That said, there are a lot of unique situations where a mega backdoor strategy can become unexpectedly relevant, I’ve written about several of them here: Mega-Backdoor Roths Aren’t Just for Rich People.
Like any large money decision, mega-backdoor Roth contributions should be part of a bigger financial and tax strategy built around your needs, your timeline, and your goals. If you’d like help building a strategy tailored to your timeline and goals (or figuring out if your employer allows the mega-backdoor), feel free to reach out, I’d love to see if I can help or direct you to someone who can. You can reach me by email at ryan@ffadvisor.com or cel phone: 616.594.6205.
Footnotes:
*Roth savings grow tax-free. Contributions can be withdrawn without tax or penalty at any time and investment gains can be withdrawn tax and penalty-free after age 59-½ (or 55 if the “rule of 55” applies to you).
*$61,000 and $67,500 are the 2022 limits for employee contributions, employer matches, and profit sharing contributions combined. Your max contribution = $61,000 or $67,500 - employer match - profit sharing contribution.
A few logical questions during a time of malaise
Bear markets beg critical questions that shake the foundation of long-term investing. We seek to answer these questions to stay the course and build for the long-term.
Read MoreAndrew Rathbun is a cyber security professional with seven years of experience between local/federal Law Enforcement and the Private Sector. Andrew has spent the last 2.5 years responding to ransomware incidents for businesses at every scale. Andrew is heavily involved in the Digital Forensics and Incident Response (DFIR) community. He enjoys writing blog posts, sharing research, contributing to open source projects, publishing books, and learning from and collaborating with other professionals in the field. Below are Andrew’s answers to a few questions I had for him regarding online financial accounts.
The biggest threat is when people use the same passwords that have long since been compromised in numerous hacks. You should make sure your current passwords aren’t in the infamous “RockYou” password leak, which can be found here. This is a commonly used password list by hackers when they want to attempt brute forcing (trying many passwords to see if one will work) accounts to gain access and carry out their goal of stealing all your money!
Additionally, some financial institutions do not have multi-factor authentication (MFA). My credit union doesn’t currently, which is crazy to me! Email/Password combinations used for some of the most important accounts people own are floating about on the dark web. You should use multi-factor authentication for every financial account if possible.
Using a random password generator is the best thing you can do. This can make it difficult to remember all of the random passwords though. So once the random password is generated, you then have to decide the best way to store/remember it. For examples of strong passwords, use a site like this one to create a password that is difficult to crack.
It is vital to use a password manager. I use 1Password as my password manager. I like it because I can use my email and an easy-to-remember password to access my password vault, which contains ALL of my passwords for every login I have. What makes it secure is that not only do you need the typical email/password combination to log in, but you also need a secret key that is unique to your account. If you use a password that has long since been leaked as associated with your email, a hacker will need to know your secret key, which is a random string of numbers and letters, before they can log in to your password vault.
Within my 1Password vault, I don’t know any of my passwords by heart. They are often 20+ characters and include lowercase characters, uppercase characters, symbols, numbers, and other special characters. There’s no way I could remember one let alone hundreds of different passwords. On some of my most valuable accounts, I have 50+ character passwords! I use 1Password on my phone and computer to log in to my accounts, so I don’t have to remember those passwords because they are simply too secure to remember. If ever they get leaked and therefore associated with my email account, I’ll just regenerate a new 20+ character password and replace it in my vault with the one that was compromised.
I’ve personally not used any free password managers, but one free password manager I would not recommend is your web browser. Obtaining your saved passwords from a browser like Firefox or Chrome is trivial for a motivated bad actor, and frankly, I could download a free tool right now and obtain the passwords stored in my web browser without much effort.
If I had to choose a free password manager, the first I would consider looking into would be BitWarden on account of the program being open-source. What does this mean? That means the source code that makes it work is completely transparent to the public. If there are vulnerabilities, those who have the knowledge can identify them and suggest changes to the program to make it more secure so everyone benefits. For those not in the cyber security industry, this is a very common occurrence where a tool is free and open-source where improvements, bug fixes, and any other feature requests are encouraged.
A virtual private network (VPN) is something that people can use to make their internet traffic secure from people who are trying to steal their data. VPNs are secure but they can be very slow. Without a VPN, if you go to a website, data travels from your computer directly to the website’s servers. With a VPN, the data travels from your computer, to Israel, to Switzerland, to Brazil, and then to the website you’re trying to go to. Therefore, the website will load much slower than without a VPN.
The everyday person should strongly consider using a VPN when connecting to public Wi-Fi, such as the airport or a local diner. Unsecured Wi-Fi networks allow bad actors to easily sniff for packets of your data going to and from your computer, including but not limited to your email/password combinations when you’re logging into your bank account on said public Wi-Fi network.
If you care about privacy, then you want to use a VPN that’s based out of a country with favorable privacy laws. Switzerland is widely considered to have the most robust laws on privacy when it comes to consumer data. ProtonMail, a privacy-focused email provider based out of Switzerland, has a VPN service called ProtonVPN. I use it and I very much recommend it. The philosophy of Proton is admirable and the fact it’s based out of Switzerland is a huge plus for privacy. Proton also embraces the open-source mindset that I admire about BitWarden and many other projects within my field of work.
Use a password manager, enable multi-factor authentication (MFA) on every account that provides that as an option, and change any passwords that you’ve been using since high school!
Remember if something is free and you are not paying for it, then you are the product. Your data, your interests, your everything is being sold by advertisers like Google for profit. It’s not that any of us have anything to hide, but there’s a reason why we all don’t have 24/7 freely accessible streaming cameras in our bedrooms for all the world to see.
Also, if you try to sell something on Facebook like I did tonight for the first time in a few years, and multiple accounts message you asking if the item is available within a minute of the posting, they are very likely bots. Sure enough, the first 4 accounts that asked me if the item was available ALL asked if they could call me with their second message. In the next message after I said “no, I don’t give out my phone number” they asked if I could post my phone number so they could call me. I immediately blocked them at that point. You have to take a moment, slow down, and not be in such a hurry to make the sale and ensure your data’s privacy is maintained as much as possible. Why would this person want my phone so badly? I thought they were interested in the mattress I’m trying to sell. Truthfully, my phone number is more valuable to them than the mattress, and they know I want to sell the item badly enough because otherwise why would I be posting about it on Facebook where there are tens of thousands of people on each of these 10+ groups I posted the item in? Much like the term innocent until proven guilty, nowadays I see things as scams until proven otherwise.
Fiduciary Financial Advisors, LLC is a registered investment adviser and does not give legal or tax advice. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities. The information contained herein has been obtained from a third party source which is believed to be reliable but is subject to correction for error. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or representation of future results.
Fiduciary Financial Advisors, LLC is a registered investment adviser and does not give legal or tax advice. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities. The information contained herein has been obtained from a third party source which is believed to be reliable but is subject to correction for error. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or representation of future results.
Fiduciary Financial Advisors, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein.
Picture this: you’re young, living life, killing it at your first “adulting” job, putting those dollars away for retirement, finally making some good money, and then boom - the market crashes. Social media blows up, politics get even more heated, your invested savings drop lower and lower, and you can’t seem to escape the dark shadow of worry. Sound familiar? Well, hang in there, because you're about to get all the deets on how to survive your first market crash.
First, let’s start with the technical definition of a market crash. A market crash is when the market falls 20% or more from the very top. Crashes can take longer to recover from and may last years. They also are often accompanied by a recession and usually are a result of some systematic failure or other reasoning. Okay, so now you know how to identify a market crash. Now, let’s talk about how you can gear up and weather a storm when it comes.
Wait, you’re telling me to continue putting my money into the thing that feels like it’s going to collapse at any second? Yep. If you’re a client of mine, you know we are all about the long-term mindset. Markets go up and down throughout your lifetime and you are feeling the pain of your first major market downturn. Pain isn’t easy. It stings. It can be lingering. But the amazing thing is pain can be healed and can go away with time. And guess what! You have the time. Retirement is more than likely 3 to 4 decades away for you. Market downturns are a part of investing and will happen again in your lifetime. Author, Carl Richards, puts it best in his sketch below. Days can feel painful, all over the place, and scary. But zoom out and take a look at the big picture.
By continuing to invest, you can take advantage of the market downturns and investments being less expensive. Not only that but get in on the downside and you are fully prepared to ride the wave back up when the time comes (aka you are making money). If you wait until the market is “looking good” again, you might miss the opportunity for growth. Now, I’m not saying to time the market. But what I am saying is investing at regular intervals regardless of the market performance is a healthy habit to have (dollar cost averaging, my friends).
Remember that pain I was talking about? You’re not the only one feeling it. So is your boss, your parents, your neighbor down the road, and your local grocery store. It’s everywhere when there is a market crash. So naturally, that is what’s going to be flooding your social media timelines. I’m here to tell you to shut it off. Tune out the noise of your Twitter’s worry and your Facebook’s advice. If you find yourself constantly logging into your IRA and 401k accounts to check the balance - don’t. Trust me, it will help you feel less of that temporary pain. From our previous conversation above, you know you have time. Focus on the decades, not the days. Temporarily unfollowing some select individuals and deleting your investment apps might just help you forget the pain is there.
When you go through your first market crash, I want you to pay close attention to your advisor. I’m not talking about performance (because let’s be real, if the market crashed, more than likely your accounts will have dropped no matter who your advisor is). I want you to pay close attention to their communication and education. Are you hearing from them? Are they checking in and educating during a market crash? A good advisor communicates with their clients especially when the market is a little wobbly. If you are a client of mine, you know I send quarterly newsletters to educate you with what’s going on in the market. Not only that, but you can expect communication from me when turmoil in the market comes. How does your financial advisor communicate with you? Will they listen to your concerns? Will they educate and help set your focus on what matters? Remember - you hired them.
Crashes will be inevitable in your lifetime. Knowing what to do when they come will play a huge role in your long-term financial success. So keep making strides in your career and keep building up those savings. Pain is temporary and if you focus on the right things, the pain might just start to feel like opportunity. Gear up and don’t just survive in a market crash - thrive in it.
Fiduciary Financial Advisors, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein.
Here, at Fiduciary Financial Advisors, we take our fiduciary oath seriously. We hold these five principles:
I will always put your best interests first
I will avoid conflicts of interest
I will act with prudence; that is, with the skill, care, diligence, and good judgment of a professional
I will not mislead you, and I will provide conspicuous, full, and fair disclosure of all important facts.
I will fully disclose, and fairly manage, in your favor, any unavoidable conflicts
Recessions, hard times, and slow growth are all things no small business owner wants to hear. But the reality is you will have times like these in your business. How do you prepare as a business owner? What can you do right now to go confidently through a natural phase of your business life? Let’s jump into five ways you can prepare your business for a recession:
We often talk about emergency funds on the personal side but we can’t forget about the business side. Set a goal to build a business emergency fund that would cover 3-6 months’ worth of business expenses (things like office supplies, payroll, rent, software subscriptions, etc.). There is always going to be something else you’d rather spend your business dollars on, but trust me when a recession hits you will feel so much better knowing your business essentials are taken care of.
Do you have a business credit card or a business loan that has reoccurring balances? Now’s the time to try and minimize that debt - especially debts with a high-interest rate. Being tied to a lender is never a good feeling and it’s even more challenging when business is hurting due to the economic surroundings. Once you have an established business emergency fund, chip away at that debt. Your future self will thank you.
All businesses have some seasons that are slower than others. Look ahead at your expected business activity in the months to come. Are they usually slower or perhaps you're coming up on your busiest time of the year? Taking a glance forward will help you know what to prepare in the now. If you know the slow months are quickly approaching, it might be time to build that extra cash reserve (maybe even slightly larger than normal) to tackle the slow months and weather a recession.
It’s always a good idea to review your current marketing plan every so often to know what’s working and what’s not. Both your time and your potential leads are valuable - we want those two things to complement each other. Carve out an hour or two out of your time to do a deep dive into your marketing streams. Where are you getting most of your business? How much are you spending and are the dollars coming back to you in the form of new business? What type of marketing takes the most of your time and is it worth it? Are there new streams you could be taking advantage of? If and when a recession comes, you can confidently know your marketing strategy is at its best.
With subscriptions being at the click of a button nowadays, it can be easy to forget what services you are paying for and how much you are actually paying. There are some expenses that definitely are worth paying for and help your business tremendously but it’s a good habit to often review your current expenses to decipher that. Clean up your business budget and make the most of your business dollars by staying on top of your monthly costs. On the other hand, is there a service or product that, if purchased, will increase your productivity/your time/your leads/your quality/etc.? Then click that “checkout” button! This tip isn’t just to cut back on all your expenses but to help your business and your revenue be the most efficient possible.
As I mentioned at the beginning of this conversation, talk of recession is never something a small business owner wants to hear. But coming to terms with this natural economic wave and knowing how you can prepare will allow you to ride the wave with ease. So get to work on building your emergency fund, minimizing business debt, looking ahead at your business activity, revisiting your marketing plan, and reviewing your current expenses. The storm is a lot less fearful when you have shelter and an umbrella in hand.
Fiduciary Financial Advisors, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein.
Recently inflation has been a hot topic, but what exactly is inflation and why does it matter so much? Inflation is the rate of increase in prices over a given period of time caused by an increase in the money supply. Since this causes more money to chase after the same amount of goods and services in our economy, prices increase. Our money then has less purchasing power because we end up paying more for things than before. Inflation is not a new phenomenon but hasn’t been a big issue since the early 1980s.
If we look at the M2 money supply data below, which is how the Federal Reserve broadly measures the money supply, you will notice the large increase that happened during the COVID pandemic to try and help stimulate the economy. People can debate back and forth if that was the right or wrong thing for politicians and the Federal Reserve to do. I would like to instead focus on some practical tips to help weather the “inflation storm” and potentially come out on the other side unscathed or even better than before!
Having money sitting in an emergency fund is not the most exciting tip, and inflation will indeed decrease that purchasing power. However, the purpose of an emergency fund is not to make a high return. It is to have a liquid supply of money available in an emergency. Going without one could lead to more serious financial issues if something unexpected happens and you don’t have enough cash to cover it. Since the Federal Reserve has started to increase interest rates, we should see that translate into higher yields on savings accounts soon!
Typically, I’d recommend 3-6 months of living expenses in your emergency fund, but you may want more or less depending on your situation.
Are you single?
Do you have children?
Are you a one-income or two-income household?
Is your job in a high-demand sector?
Could you easily find another job quickly if needed?
These are some questions you should consider when deciding how much money you should keep in your emergency fund.
Owning assets that produce income could help during high inflation and protect your purchasing power. As inflation increases, these income-producing assets should be able to increase their rates to help soften the blow felt by inflation. Real estate properties can command higher rents as inflation increases. If you can’t afford to purchase an entire property then REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) are the other potential option to gain access to that asset class with smaller capital amounts.
Owning businesses is similar. The money the business receives as income may become less valuable due to inflation. If the business can increase the prices charged for goods and services, then the greater amount of income could offset the money being worth less. If you can’t afford to purchase an entire business, then consider owning parts of businesses through stocks, mutual funds, or index funds.
I wouldn’t encourage anyone to go out and accumulate more debt. If you already have a fixed low-interest debt such as a mortgage, it may make sense to delay paying it off early. If inflation remains high, the money you use to pay back that debt will be worth a lot less in the future than the money you originally received. Using that money to invest in other assets could be a much better option.
With inflation running high it’s the perfect time to look at your expenses. Review what you are spending your money on to figure out if it aligns with your long-term goals. Do you need five different streaming services? Is it time to stop eating out as often and start cooking more at home? Is it time to start carpooling to save on gas prices? Incorporating some of these ideas to help reduce your expenses is another potential way to decrease the effect felt by high inflation.
I saved the best for last! Investing in yourself is one of the best ways to deal with inflation. Learn a new skill, read a new book, take a new class/certification program, and grow your knowledge base. By making yourself more marketable to your current/future employer and providing more value for them, you should be able to command a higher salary. That can help make inflation not sting quite as much. Even though things will cost you more, earning more money to help offset those costs can be a difference-maker.
James Clear, the author of Atomic Habits, shared a powerful principle: a 1% improvement every day leads to you being 37x better at the end of the year. And I’m confident you can get 1% better at something every day! Inflation does not prevent you from improving yourself.
Fiduciary Financial Advisors, LLC is a registered investment adviser and does not give legal or tax advice. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities. The information contained herein has been obtained from a third party source which is believed to be reliable but is subject to correction for error. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or representation of future results.
Video Transcript:
0:06 Hi, everybody wanted to get a video out, to give an overview of the market and to help give some reassurance about current investment strategies and plans.
0:16 I'm sending this out to all of my clients, as well as people I've interacted with during my financial advising career and people that I have meetings coming up with.
0:26 So I hope you find it helpful and feel free to share it with anybody else that you think might also find this helpful.
0:32 So wanting to jump right in the current stock market this year for 2022 is down over 20%. And so if you've watch any of the news read any financial articles, lots of people are talking about bear market recession and the media thrives on negativity and fear gives 'em a lot more views.
0:54 And so I wanted to give, uh, a few different data points to help give a longer-term picture and a different point of view.
1:01 I, so this first one it shows the history of the bear and bull markets in us since 1942. Visually I like it.
1:12 You can see, but I'll just explain it. The bull market on average has lasted around 4.4 years since 1942, when we've had a bull market, it compared to only 11.3 months of a bear market.
1:26 And the returns of those bull markets have averaged around 154% compared to the loss of only 32% during a bear market.
1:37 And so looking at a bigger, longer-term picture like this helps reassure me that even when we do go into years like we have had in 2022, I'm not investing year to year.
1:49 I'm looking at the long term, 10, 15, 30 years out, from when I'm gonna need that money. And whenever I talk to people, I always tell them that if you need money in the next three, four years, you should’t be investing it in the stock market, or at least not super aggressively.
2:05 If you do you wanna make sure you don't need that money for at least five years or more because that'll give markets time to recover when we come across situations like we are today, this one shows data a little bit differently.
2:19 I like this one because the gold shows how much the stock market has been down at some point throughout this, that year where the blue shows the overall returns of the stock market, S&P 500 for that year.
2:34 And so you'll see that there's lots of times where the gold is down quite a bit at some point during that year, but at the end of the year, the blue ends up still being in the positive.
2:45 And so I don't know if that's gonna be one of those years that we're in for 2022, but I do know that looking at this, it helps reassure me that I'm investing for the long term.
2:58 And then this last one, if you focus on the blue line, the stocks, you can see that they dipped quite a bit in 2008 with the great financial crisis, the housing market crash, and then following all the way through, you can see how stocks have performed.
3:12 They did dip for the COVID crisis when that started. But again, looking long term, looking back since 2007, I would much rather be invested in stocks than invested in some of these other, you know, gold, cash, oil, because in the long term stocks have outperformed quite a bit more than these other categories.
3:36 Again, I can't predict the future, but this data helps reassure me that I'm gonna stick to my own financial plan.
3:44 And I'd advise you guys to stick to your yours as well and not let emotions or fear control what your investing decisions are.
3:53 So I will leave you with a quote by Warren Buffet, which I know lots of people use it, but they use it because it's really good.
4:02 And so he says that people should try to be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy.
4:10 And right now there seems to be like, there's quite a few people that are fearful, and that might lead to a really great buying opportunity, uh, with stocks being, uh, quite a bit cheaper now than the, what they were at the beginning of the year.
4:24 And so if you don't have a financial plan, I'm happy to, uh, help build one out for you. And if you're a current client and you wanna review yours or get more in-depth with it, I'm happy to meet and I'll leave you with my contact information.
4:39 Feel free to call email. If you wanna schedule a meeting directly on my calendar, there's a Calendly link there where you can sign up for that.
4:47 So hopefully this helped and feel free to reach out if you have any other questions. Thanks.
Fiduciary Financial Advisors, LLC is a registered investment adviser and does not give legal or tax advice. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities. The information contained herein has been obtained from a third party source which is believed to be reliable but is subject to correction for error. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or representation of future results.
Fiduciary Financial Advisors is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any securities. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Be sure to consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein.